Bets for the weekend
Firstly, i got the ratings mixed up in my last post for Middlesboro – i had their away rating in rather than their home rating hence i am now on Millwall when in fact it should be a no bet game. Millwall have drifted so i’m not going to lay them back and the price i’ve taken – $3.77 – is bigger than my price – $3.4 – so i’m happy enough to let it ride.
I’m also on Peterborough at $2.52 and this is also a marginal one (my odds $2.2). They have beaten Leicester, Barnsley and Bolton and drawn with Hull and Burnley in their last 5 home matches so I wouldn’t put anyone off backing them.
Bolton can be backed at $2.75 to beat Hull and this looks like decent value. They’ve won 2 of their last 3 and 3 of their last 5 home matches while Hull have only scored twice in their last 4 away games.
I took the $3.4 about Wolves to beat Cardiff. That price has gone but the $3.25 with Bwin still looks like fair value. The recent attacking stats of these teams are incredibly similar with Wolves having averaged 1 goal, 7.75 shots, 3.5 shots on target and 7.75 corners in their last 4 home games compared to 1 goal, 7.75 shots, 4 shots on target and 4 corners for Cardiff.
Cardiff’s defence is obviously much better than Wolves’ but at the prices Wolves are a bet and that’s something i didn’t imagine myself writing for a long while after i last backed them when they got slammed by Crystal Palace on New Years’ Day.
Under 2.5 goals also looks likely in the Huddersfield v Ipswich match but i’d want a bit bigger than the $1.8 that’s available.